Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.302753 0.360251 0.429812 0.521481 0.641130 0.794952 1.012714
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.229344 0.300767 0.399863 0.553112 0.795616 1.187570 1.926671
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.181275 0.254238 0.365873 0.560953 0.923001 1.644498 3.482729
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.147732 0.217316 0.331642 0.551040 1.014947 2.129952 6.002687
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.129131 0.198113 0.318958 0.572188 1.181884 2.978172 12.240501
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.111036 0.175365 0.293242 0.556549 1.256695 3.699668 22.347231
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.099786 0.162127 0.281570 0.566366 1.408469 4.983497 52.849210
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.089293 0.148260 0.265210 0.558938 1.507630 6.316218 131.211197
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.082485 0.140128 0.258752 0.574136 1.700866 8.825143 632.641427
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.077409 0.134489 0.256331 0.599598 1.965182 13.189428 24559.998372
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.072513 0.128423 0.251603 0.616924 2.222803 19.580614 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.068372 0.123293 0.247986 0.636742 2.528272 30.593505 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.064368 0.118029 0.243333 0.653106 2.860010 50.118851 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.060556 0.112700 0.237576 0.664223 3.196766 85.280639 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.056682 0.106754 0.229135 0.662585 3.458933 141.655581 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.052723 0.100162 0.217855 0.646017 3.590766 216.732783 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.050556 0.097434 0.216664 0.670531 4.164127 597.708107 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.047240 0.091658 0.205964 0.650637 4.270548 1077.901365 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.045162 0.088604 0.202592 0.662500 4.788803 4817.236104 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.042708 0.084399 0.195203 0.653268 5.048876 25499.929187 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.041167 0.082262 0.193652 0.671957 5.790676 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.040014 0.080957 0.194428 0.703387 6.919193 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.038705 0.079129 0.193280 0.724833 8.043201 NaN NaN